数学理论与应用 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (3-4): 98-109.

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银行业和券商业市盈率影响因素比较分析

陆歆儿, 饶海琴   

  1. 上海理工大学管理学院
  • 出版日期:2017-12-30 发布日期:2020-09-22

Comparison of Price-to-Earning Ratios Between China's Listed Banks and Security Companies

Lu Xiner, Rao Haiqing   

  1. School of Business,University of Shanghai for Science and Technology
  • Online:2017-12-30 Published:2020-09-22

摘要: 市盈率是投资估价的重要依据.同为金融行业,我国上市银行和券商的市盈率呈现显著不同.本文研究宏观经济变量对两者市盈率的影响.利用市场公开数据进行实证分析发现:银行业月平均市盈率与我国财政收入累计值呈负相关、与我国财政支出累计值呈正相关;券商业月平均市盈率与狭义货币供应同比增长率呈负相关.

关键词: 市盈率, 宏观经济变量 , 多元线性回归

Abstract: Price-to-earning(P/E)ratio is an important basis for investment valuation.It is observed that  the P/E ratios of China's listed banks and security companies are significantly different,though they are both  financial enterprises.This paper studies the impact of macroeconomic variables on P/E ratios.Empirical analysis with the market open data shows that the monthly average P/E ratio of the listed banking industry is negatively correlated with China's accumulated value of fiscal revenue and positively correlated with China's accumulated value of fiscal expenditure,while the monthly average P/E ratio of the listed security companies is negatively correlated with the supply growth rate of narrow money.

Key words:

Price-to-earning ratio, Macroeconomic variable, Multiple linear regression